Understanding Genshin's Guarantee System for Varka
Character Event Wish operates on dual-layer guarantee. Every pull contributes to cumulative counter that never resets until you get a 5-star.
What 'Guarantee' Means
Hard pity activates at exactly 90 pulls, forcing 5-star drop. But 50/50 system introduces uncertainty—first 5-star has only 50% chance of being featured character (Varka).
Guaranteeing references worst-case: lose initial 50/50 (get Diluc, Mona, Jean, Keqing, Qiqi, Tighnari, or Dehya), then reach pity again. Second 5-star guaranteed featured character.
Math: 180 pulls × 160 Primogems = 28,800 Primogems for complete guarantee. Need primogems? Buy genshin impact primogems top up through BitTopup for competitive pricing and instant delivery.
180-Wish Worst-Case Breakdown
First 90 pulls guarantee a 5-star, but 50/50 means possible off-banner. If this occurs, pity resets to zero, but guaranteed featured character status activates for next 5-star.
Second set of up to 90 pulls then guarantees Varka specifically. Most players get 5-stars before 90-pull hard pity due to soft pity, but conservative planning assumes worst-case.
Pity Carryover Between Banners
Critical advantage: pity persists across all Character Event Wish banners. 60 pulls on previous banner without 5-star? Those 60 carry forward to Varka's banner. Next 5-star appears within 30 additional pulls max.
Carryover applies exclusively within Character Event Wish category. Standard Banner (Acquaint Fates) or Weapon Event Wish maintain separate pity counters. Check wish history before February 25, 2026 to calculate precise needs.
Exact Primogem Calculation
Total Required (28,800 for Full Guarantee)
Maximum 28,800 assumes zero pity, no guaranteed status. Translates to 180 Intertwined Fates at 160 Primogems each.
At 74+ pity, soft pity increases 5-star rates substantially. Statistical analysis shows average acquisition around pull 62-63, meaning realistic requirement typically 10,000-15,000 Primogems starting fresh, or 20,000-25,000 after lost 50/50.
Converting Primogems to Fates
Beyond direct conversion, 6.4 provides alternative sources:
- Stardust Exchange: 10 Intertwined Fates (1,600 primogem value), refreshes twice during full cycle
- Free Battle Pass: 5 Acquaint Fates (Standard Banner only)
- Character trials: 20 Primogems per trial
Supplementary sources reduce raw primogem requirement by ~2,000-2,500.
Account for Current Pity
Check wish history (Wish screen → History) to count pulls since last 5-star. History shows recent six months.
- Last 5-star was featured character? You're on 50/50—budget 28,800 Primogems
- Lost previous 50/50? Next 5-star guaranteed Varka—need only 14,400 Primogems (90 pulls)
Subtract current pity from these totals for actual target.
Version 6.4 Timeline & Banner Schedule
Varka Banner Dates
Launches February 25, 2026 with 6.4 Luna V update. Runs 21 days, ending March 17, 2026 at server reset (04:00 Asia, 06:00 Europe, 18:00 America).
Phase 1 provides exactly three weeks for farming and wishing. Banner end times absolute—no exceptions.
Patch Cycle Duration
6.4 follows standard 42-day cycle: Phase 1 (Varka) first 21 days, Phase 2 different characters remaining 21 days. Must complete resource gathering before March 17.
21-day Phase 1 allows:
- One Spiral Abyss reset (600 Primogems)
- One Imaginarium Theatre reset (1,000 Primogems)
- Main event plus two secondary events
- 21 days dailies (1,260 Primogems)
Phase Structure
Phase 1: February 25 - March 17 (Varka featured)
Phase 2: March 18 - ~April 8 (different 5-stars)
Pity carries to Phase 2, but featured character changes—post-deadline pulls irrelevant for Varka.
Complete Primogem Income Breakdown
Daily Commissions: 60 Primogems/Day
10 Primogems × 4 commissions + 20 bonus from Katheryne = 60 daily.
- Phase 1 (21 days): 1,260 Primogems
- Full 6.4 (42 days): 2,520 Primogems
Missing one day costs 60 Primogems—nearly half a wish.
Event Rewards
Phase 1 events:
- Main flagship event: 960 Primogems
- Two secondary events: 420 each (840 total)
- Stygian Onslaught: 450 Primogems
- Varka story quest: 150 Primogems
- Character trials: 80 Primogems
- Achievements: 5 Primogems
- Total: ~2,485 Primogems
Livestream codes (expire Feb 16, 2026):
- Three codes: 100 Primogems each (300 total)
- Redeem before banner launch
Spiral Abyss (Floors 9-12)
Resets 1st and 16th monthly. Up to 600 Primogems per reset for 36-star completion.
- Phase 1 (21 days): One reset = 600 Primogems
- Full 6.4 (42 days): Two resets = 1,200 Primogems
Partial completion still earns 300-400 Primogems for casual players.
Maintenance Compensation
600 Primogems arrive via mail after February 25 servers reopen (300 maintenance + 300 update inconvenience).
Imaginarium Theatre
Resets monthly, offers 1,000 Primogems per complete clear.
- Phase 1: One reset = 1,000 Primogems
- Full 6.4: Two resets = 2,000 Primogems
Requires broad roster of built characters.
Soft Pity and Hard Pity Mechanics
Soft Pity at 74 Wishes
Base 5-star rate: 0.6% for pulls 1-73. Dramatically increases from pull 74 onward.
~90% of 5-star acquisitions occur pulls 74-82, with 77-79 most common. Budget 80 pulls per 5-star (12,800 Primogems) for realistic middle-ground.
Hard Pity at 90 Wishes
Pull 90 guarantees 5-star with 100% certainty. Counter resets immediately upon any 5-star acquisition.
Statistical Average
Community data shows average 5-star at pull 62-63 accounting for soft pity.
Realistic guarantee planning: ~20,000 Primogems (125 pulls) for full 50/50 loss scenario—63 pulls for lost 5-star + 63 for guaranteed Varka = 126 pulls (20,160 Primogems).
The 50/50 System
Winning 50/50
First 5-star is Varka—requires only 14,400 Primogems max (90 pulls), realistically 10,000-12,000 with soft pity. Save remaining primogems for future characters.
But winning resets guarantee status—next 5-star returns to 50/50 odds.
Losing 50/50
Receive standard banner 5-star instead of Varka. Activates guaranteed status for next 5-star, which must be featured character.
Guarantee persists across banner changes. Some players strategically accept losses on less-desired characters to secure guarantees for high-priority releases.
Pull Early or Wait?
Early pulling: Immediate 50/50 clarity, time to farm more if needed after loss.
Late pulling: Maximizes free primogem accumulation first, but risks running out of time after late 50/50 loss.
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F2P vs Spending Options
Pure F2P Phase 1 Income (~40 Pulls)
21-day Phase 1 sources:
- Daily commissions: 1,260
- Maintenance: 600
- Main event: 960
- Secondary events: 840
- Character trials: 80
- Varka quest: 150
- Spiral Abyss: 600
- Imaginarium Theatre: 1,000
- Stygian Onslaught: 450
- Achievements: 5
- Livestream codes: 300
- Stardust exchange: 10 fates (1,600 value)
Total: ~6,245 Primogems + 10 fates ≈ 40 pulls
Full 42-day cycle: ~65 pulls total—insufficient for full guarantee without existing pity.
Welkin Moon: +3,000 Monthly
$4.99 provides 90 Primogems daily for 30 days (2,700) + 300 Genesis Crystals immediate.
Phase 1 (21 days): 1,890 Primogems + 300 bonus = 2,190 total
Combined with F2P: ~88 pulls Phase 1—enough for single 5-star with soft pity, but needs favorable 50/50 for Varka. Two Welkins spanning full 6.4: ~110-115 pulls.
Battle Pass: +680 Primogems + 4 Fates
$9.99 awards 680 Primogems + 4 Intertwined Fates over 42 days (≈1,320 primogem value). Free track gives 5 Acquaint Fates (Standard Banner only—no Varka value).
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Tracking Pity and Wish History
Check Current Pity
Wish menu → History button → Character Event Wish tab. Shows six months of records.
Count backwards from most recent wish to last 5-star. That number = current pity. Example: Last 5-star 47 wishes ago = 47 pity, 43 pulls until hard pity.
Using Wish History (6-Month Limit)
Six months covers most players. If no wishes in 6+ months, records incomplete—assume zero pity, plan worst-case.
History separates banner types. Only Character Event Wish matters for Varka—Standard and Weapon pity operate independently.
Calculate Wishes Since Last 5-Star
Each history page shows 6 wishes. Navigate pages, count each entry to previous 5-star. 10-pulls count as 10 individual wishes.
Note if last 5-star was featured (current 50/50 status) or standard (current guaranteed status). Determines 90 or 180 pull budget.
Emergency Primogem Strategies
Unclaimed Achievements
Review achievement list (Paimon Menu → Achievements). Easy completions: cooking dishes, defeating enemies, exploration milestones.
Each awards 5-20 Primogems. Systematic completion yields 200-500 Primogems for overlooked achievements.
Character Trials and Hangouts
Trials: 20 Primogems each, typically 4 available = 80 Primogems total.
Hangout Events: 60-120 Primogems per character depending on endings. Quick farming through dialogue and simple exploration.
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Common Mistakes to Avoid
Misconception: Pity Resets Between Banner Types
Critical error: Character Event Wish pity carries only to future Character Event Wish banners. Standard Banner and Weapon Event Wish maintain separate counters.
Always verify correct fate type (Intertwined for character banners) and intended banner.
Underestimating 50/50 Risk
Many budget only 90 pulls (14,400 Primogems), assuming 50/50 win or soft pity luck. Leaves them stranded after loss with insufficient primogems.
Conservative planning assumes 50/50 loss, budgets 180 pulls (28,800 Primogems) or minimum 160 pulls (25,600) with soft pity. Excess saves for future—shortfalls can't be remedied post-expiration.
Ignoring Soft Pity Optimization
Pulls 74-79 offer highest probability-to-cost ratio. At 73 pity, consider single-pulling vs 10-pulling to avoid wasting wishes beyond 5-star acquisition.
FAQ
How many primogems guarantee a 5-star in Genshin? 14,400 Primogems (90 pulls) max, though soft pity at 74 means most get 5-star at 12,000-13,000. Guaranteeing specific featured character (Varka) requires up to 28,800 (180 pulls) to overcome potential 50/50 loss.
When does Varka's banner release? February 25, 2026 at server reset with 6.4 Luna V. Runs 21 days, ending March 17, 2026. Complete all wishes before deadline—banner disappears immediately.
Does pity carry between character banners? Yes, pity carries between all Character Event Wish banners. Doesn't transfer between different banner types (Character Event, Standard, Weapon Event).
What is soft pity? Dramatically increased 5-star rate starting pull 74. Base 0.6% rate (pulls 1-73) escalates at 74+. ~90% of 5-stars acquired pulls 74-82, making pull 90 hard pity rarely reached.
How many primogems can F2P get in 6.4? Phase 1 (21 days): ~6,245 Primogems + 10 fates ≈ 40 pulls. Full 6.4 (42 days): ~10,435 Primogems ≈ 65 pulls including Stardust fates.
What happens losing 50/50 on Varka's banner? Receive standard 5-star (Diluc, Mona, Jean, Keqing, Qiqi, Tighnari, Dehya) instead. Activates guaranteed status—next 5-star within 90 pulls definitely Varka. Guarantee persists if banner expires, carrying to future Character Event Wish banners.
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