HSR 3.8 Phase 3 runs January 28 to February 12, 2026, featuring Sunday and Aglaea on Character Event Warps. Pity counters carry over within the same warp type, allowing strategic resource management. Character hard pity hits at 90 warps (14,400 Stellar Jades), with soft pity starting at 74 pulls. F2P players earn 4,000-5,000 Jades during Phase 3.
HSR 3.8 Phase 3 Timeline and Sunday Banner
Phase 3 begins January 28, 2026, ending February 12, 2026—a 15-day window to secure Sunday. This Imaginary Harmony support shares the Character Event Warp with Aglaea (Lightning Remembrance DPS).
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Phase 3 Banner Composition:
- Sunday (Imaginary Harmony)
- Aglaea (Lightning Remembrance)
- 4-Stars: Tingyun (Harmony, Lightning), Yukong (Harmony, Imaginary), Dan Heng (Hunt, Wind)
Light Cone Event Warps run separately—pulling there never affects Character Event Warp counters.
Pity Carryover Mechanics
Your Character Event Warp counter persists across all phases, versions, and featured character changes. A player at 65 pity on January 27 carries that exact count into Sunday's banner on January 28.
What Carries Over:
- Exact pull count toward hard pity (0-90)
- Soft pity probability increases (starting pull 74)
- Guarantee status (if you lost previous 50/50)
What Doesn't Transfer:
- Character Event Warp pity never affects Light Cone Event Warp
- Departure Warp operates independently
- Standard Warp maintains separate tracking
The 50/50 System
Character Event Warps implement 50% featured character rate on your first 5-star. Losing this guarantees your next 5-star will be the featured character, even versions later.
Example: Pull Aglaea on January 30 (losing 50/50 for Sunday). Your guarantee activates immediately and persists into Version 3.9, 4.0, or beyond until consumed.
Sunday Budget:
- On guarantee: Maximum 90 pulls (realistically 74-85 due to soft pity)
- On 50/50: Worst case 180 pulls (28,800 Jades), realistic 140-160 pulls (22,400-25,600 Jades)
Exact Warp Math: Scenarios
Scenario 1: 0 Pity (Fresh Counter)
50/50 Status:
- Worst case: 180 pulls (28,800 Jades)
- Realistic: 140-160 pulls (22,400-25,600 Jades)
- Best case: 74 pulls (11,840 Jades)
Guarantee Status:
- Worst case: 90 pulls (14,400 Jades)
- Realistic: 74-85 pulls (11,840-13,600 Jades)
Phase 3 income (4,000-5,000 Jades) covers 25-31 pulls. Players at 0 pity need 9,400-10,400 additional banked Jades minimum.
Scenario 2: Mid-Range Pity (30-60 Pulls)
At 40 Pity, On Guarantee:
- Need: 34-50 more pulls (5,440-8,000 Jades)
- Phase 3 income: 4,000-5,000 Jades
- Gap: 440-4,000 Jades from savings/top-up
At 60 Pity, On 50/50:
- First 5-star: 14-30 pulls away (2,240-4,800 Jades)
- If lost: Need 74-90 more pulls (11,840-14,400 Jades)
- Phase 3 income covers first attempt; guarantee requires 6,840-10,400 banked Jades
For emergency scenarios, HSR Oneiric Shards recharge via BitTopup offers instant delivery.
Scenario 3: High Pity (61-73 Pulls)
At 65 Pity:
- Soft pity in 9 pulls
- Hard pity in 25 pulls
- Daily Training provides 11+ pulls over 15 days
Critical: Stop pulling immediately on Character Event Warps until January 28. Every pull from 65+ carries escalating 5-star probability.
At 72 Pity:
- 2 pulls from soft pity
- 50%+ chance of 5-star within next 15 pulls
- Absolute stop recommended unless current banner features your target
Players at 70+ pity on guarantee will acquire Sunday within the first week using Phase 3 F2P income alone.
Guarantee vs 50/50 Impact
Guarantee Advantages:
- Single pity cycle (max 90 pulls)
- Budget certainty: 14,400 Jades worst case
50/50 Considerations:
- 50% chance to acquire Sunday at first 5-star
- 50% chance to need second cycle (180 pulls worst case)
- Average outcome: 120-140 pulls
Pro tip: Players on 50/50 with limited resources should accumulate 20,000+ Jades before pulling.
Phase 3 Stellar Jade Income
Minimum F2P (Conservative):
- Daily Training: 1,800 Jades
- Events: 3,000 Jades
- Endgame (partial clear): 1,600 Jades
- Total: 6,400 Jades (40 pulls)
Maximum F2P (Optimal):
- Daily Training: 1,800 Jades
- Events: 4,000 Jades
- Endgame (full clear): 2,400 Jades
- Miscellaneous: 800 Jades
- Total: 9,000 Jades (56 pulls)
Income Breakdown
Daily Training: 120 Jades/day × 15 days = 1,800 Jades
Endgame Modes (per reset):
- Memory of Chaos: 800 Jades (full clear)
- Pure Fiction: 800 Jades (full clear)
- Apocalyptic Shadow: 800 Jades (full clear)
- Total: 2,400 Jades
Gift of Odyssey: 1,600 Jades + 10 Star Rail Special Passes (3,200 Jades equivalent total)
Express Supply Pass adds 680 Jades and 4 Star Rail Passes monthly. Nameless Honor premium track contributes ~8 pulls plus materials.
Soft Pity vs Hard Pity
Soft Pity (Pull 74+): Exponentially increasing 5-star probability. Community data shows:
- Pulls 1-73: Base 0.6% rate
- Pulls 74-89: Escalating rate, near-certainty by pull 85
- Pull 90: Guaranteed 5-star
Statistical Distribution:
- Pulls 1-73: 35% of 5-stars acquired
- Pulls 74-79: 30% acquired
- Pulls 80-85: 28% acquired
- Pulls 86-90: 7% acquired
Median: Pull 77-78 (50th percentile)
Planning recommendation: Budget for 80 pulls (12,800 Jades). This covers 93% of scenarios while avoiding resource inefficiency of planning for 90-pull worst cases.
Sunday Pull Value
Sunday's kit positions him as premium Imaginary Harmony support with action-advance and energy regeneration capabilities.
Core Mechanics:
- Action advancement for DPS characters
- Energy regeneration (reduces Ultimate cooldowns)
- Imaginary weakness implant
Best Teams:
- Hypercarry: Sunday + Main DPS + Sustain + Flex
- Dual DPS: Sunday + DPS 1 + DPS 2 + Sustain
- Sunday + Aglaea synergy (energy support for 350 Energy Ultimate)
Pull Sunday If:
- You lack action-advance supports
- Your DPS roster includes Ultimate-dependent characters
- You need Imaginary element coverage
- You're building Remembrance path teams
Skip If:
- You own multiple Harmony supports (Bronya, Sparkle)
- Your DPS don't benefit from action advancement
- Limited resources force choice with upcoming 4.0 characters
Sunday's Phase 3 placement means uncertain rerun timing—potentially 6-9 months.
Pity Calculation Method
Step-by-Step:
- Open Warp menu
- Select Character Event Warp
- Tap View Details (lower-left)
- Switch to Records tab
- Count pulls since last 5-star from top downward
Example: 47 pulls since last 5-star = 47 pity. Next 5-star within 43 pulls max (90 - 47), soft pity in 27 pulls (74 - 47).
Manual Formula
Current Pity + Projected Income = Pull Budget
Example:
- Current pity: 52
- Guarantee: Yes
- Phase 3 income: 6,400 Jades (40 pulls)
- Banked: 3,200 Jades (20 pulls)
- Total: 112 pulls available
- Needed: 38 pulls max (realistically 22-33)
- Surplus: 74 pulls for future banners
Safety Margin
Add 2,400 Jades (15 pulls) buffer to minimum requirement. If you need 11,840 Jades (74 pulls), target 14,240 Jades (89 pulls) for safety.
When to Stop Pulling Current Banners
The 60-Pull Rule
Guideline: Stop all Character Event Warp pulls at 60 pity if Sunday is your target and you're 7+ days from his banner.
Reasoning:
- Soft pity begins at 74 (14 pulls away)
- Phase 3 income provides 40+ pulls
- Risk escalates rapidly beyond 60 pity
Exception: Players on guarantee at 60 pity who want current featured character can continue—they'll reset to 0 and rebuild toward Sunday.
At 70+ Pity Before January 28
Immediate Actions:
- Stop pulling immediately
- Calculate exact pity via Records tab
- Assess guarantee status
- Project Phase 3 income
At 72 Pity, On Guarantee:
- Acquire Sunday within 18 pulls max (realistically 2-13)
- Phase 3 income alone guarantees acquisition
At 72 Pity, On 50/50:
- First 5-star within 18 pulls
- 50% Sunday, 50% need second cycle
- Ensure 11,840-14,400 banked Jades for guarantee
Advanced Optimization
4-Star Constellation Hunting
Sunday's banner features Tingyun, Yukong, Dan Heng—all useful with distinct roles.
Risk: Each 10-pull after Sunday costs 1,600 Jades and builds 10 pity toward next 5-star.
Recommendation: Limit to 20-30 pulls max after Sunday acquisition.
Express Supply Pass Efficiency
Monthly Card ($4.99 USD):
- 300 Oneiric Shards immediately + 90 daily for 30 days
- Total: 3,000 Shards (18.75 pulls/month)
Optimal timing: Buy January 28 (Phase 3 start) for 1,350 Jades over 15 days (8.4 pulls).
Nameless Honor ($9.99 USD):
- 4 Star Rail Special Passes, 680 Jades, materials
- ~8 pulls total
Combined: 26-27 pulls monthly for ~$15 USD.
Safe Top-Up Options
BitTopup offers HSR Oneiric Shard top-ups with:
- Instant delivery (minutes)
- Competitive pricing vs in-game rates
- Secure encrypted transactions
- 24/7 customer support
- Multiple payment methods
For guarantee scenarios where you're 1,000-3,000 Jades short, BitTopup's smaller denominations prevent overbuying.
FAQ
Does pity carry over between banner phases? Yes. Character Event Warp pity persists across all phases and versions. Only acquiring a 5-star resets your counter. 50/50 or guarantee status carries forward indefinitely.
How many Stellar Jades for guaranteed Sunday? At 0 pity on guarantee: 14,400 Jades max (90 pulls), realistically 11,840-13,600 (74-85 pulls). On 50/50: 28,800 Jades worst case (180 pulls), realistic 22,400-25,600 (140-160 pulls).
When does Sunday's banner start? January 28, 2026, at server reset through February 12, 2026 (15 days).
What is soft pity rate? Soft pity begins at pull 74 for Character Event Warps. Most players acquire 5-stars between pulls 74-85, with pull 90 as guaranteed hard pity.
Can I lose pity progress? No. Pity never decays except when you acquire a 5-star. You can stop pulling for months—your count remains frozen. Different banner types don't affect each other's counters.
How do I check current pity? Warp menu → Character Event Warp → View Details → Records tab → manually count pulls since last 5-star.
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